Table 3

Top 10 important predictors of the prediction models for risperidone and aripiprazole*

Risperidone
Rank Backward stepwise LR LASSO Ridge Elastic net Random forest GBM
1Number of outpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of inpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of EM visits, MHDNumber of inpatient visits, MHDAgeAge
2Number of any route visits, non-MHDAgeNumber of inpatient visits, MHDAgeNumber of any route visits, non-MHDNumber of visits, non-MHDs
3Number of inpatient visits, MHDNumber of EM visits, non-MHDsNumber of EM visits, non-MHDsNumber of EM visits, non-MHDsNumber of outpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of outpatient visits, non-MHD
4Number of EM visits, non-MHDsNumber of EM visits, MHDAgeNumber of EM visits, MHDNumber of outpatient visits, MHDASD
5AgeAnticholinergic drugsAnticholinergic drugsAnticholinergic drugsNumber of any route visits, MHDNumber of any route visits, MHD
6Anticholinergic drugsEBDASDEBDNumber of outpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of outpatient visits, MHD
7EBDASDEBDASDFirst diagnosis of SchizophreniaMental retardation
8Bipolar disorderInsurance type: Medical aidNumber of inpatient visits, non-MHDInsurance type: Medical aidSex: femaleInsurance type: Medical aid
9ASDMental retardationOther congenital or genetic defectMental retardationInsurance type: Medical aidSeizure
10Insurance type: Medical aidSex: femaleInsurance type: Medical aidReaction to severe stress and adjustment disorderOther MHDsAntipyretics, analgesics
Aripiprazole
Rank Backward stepwise LR LASSO Ridge Elastic NET Random forest GBM
1Number of outpatient visits, non-MHDAgeNumber of EM visits, MHDAgeAgeAge
2Number of any route visits, non-MHDNumber of inpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of inpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of inpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of outpatient visits, non-MHDNumber of any route visits, non-MHDs
3Number of EM visits, MHDNumber of EM visits, MHDNumber of EM visits, non-MHDsNumber of EM visits, MHDNumber of any route visits, non-MHDNumber of outpatient visits, non-MHD
4Number of inpatient visits, non-MHDLithiumAgeLithiumNumber of any route visits, MHDASD
5AgeNumber of EM visits, non-MHDsLithiumNumber of EM visits, non-MHDsNumber of outpatient visits, MHDNumber of any route visits, MHD
6LithiumBipolar disorderAnticholinergic drugsBipolar disorderFirst diagnosis of SchizophreniaNumber of outpatient visits, MHD
7Tic disorderSex: femaleBipolar disorderSex: femaleAntipyretics, analgesicsMental retardation
8MAO inhibitorNumber of any route visits, MHDASDNumber of any route visits, MHDSex: femaleInsurance type: Medical aid
9Bipolar disorderAnticholinergic drugsDiabetes mellitusAnticholinergic drugsAntihistaminesSeizure
10EDMAO inhibitorMAO inhibitorMAO inhibitorOther MHDsAntipyretics, analgesics
  • *The relative importance of predictors in SuperLearner was not evaluated because this algorithm ensembles the predicted probabilities of each model used in construction.

  • ASD, autism spectrum disorder; BP, bipolar disorder; EBD, other behaviour and emotional disorders with onset generally occurring in childhood and adolescence; ED, emotional disorders with onset specific to childhood; EM, emergency room; GBM, gradient boosting machine; LASSO, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; MAO, monoamine oxidase; MHD, mental health disorder.